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ELIZABETH KNIGHT
June 11, 2009 – 11:57AM
The Chinese cannot be accused of being slow to learn their lessons.

Minmetals would have watched very closely the unfolding disaster that fellow Chinese-owned Chinalco suffered last week at the hands of the board of Rio Tinto.

Chinalco had a once in a lifetime opportunity to get its hands on some unparalleled resource assets in Australia.

It was in the box seat to double its stake in Rio Tinto and take direct stakes in highly sought after assets but it blew it. It got greedy.

Had it delivered a drop dead price on day one the outcome could have been very different.

Minmetals last night and at the 11th hour increased its offer for the OZ Minerals assets it is able to buy, by 15 per cent to $US1.386 billion ($1.75 billion).

The sale of these assets has been one of the most contested deals in recent corporate history.

Macquarie Bank was the primary rival to Minmetals – the Australian bank’s plan involved a recapitalisation for which it would receive some hefty underwriting fees.

But in the end Macquarie’s deal was too risky – given that it would need to provide bridging finance until an issue had been undertaken.

Only a very brave – or foolhardy – organisation would extend finance to an overgeared company like Oz Minerals whose existing bankers are already holding a gun to its head.

Going into this morning’s OZ Mineral shareholder meeting to approve the Minmetals the board made it clear that the banks had cocked the trigger and were ready to squeeze in the event that investors voted against the sale of assets to Minmetals.

It could be argued that on this basis – and given the proxies received indicated that it would be approved – that Minmetals didn’t need to raise the offer.

But there is nothing like certainty – even if it comes at a price.

Lobbing a better offer – and one that sits inside the independent experts range of values – is probably cheap insurance.

eknight@smh.com.au

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